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Tuesday, July 24, 2007

NOT as interesting as dolphins at Sea World


I PROMISE no more dorky posts for today. Happy Youtube/CNN debate! Here was my predicting for talk-time:

Obama
Clinton: -:40
Edwards: -1:15
Richardson: -1:45
Dodd:-1:15
Biden: -:30
Kucinich: -2:30
Gravel: -1:00

Basically, based on media coverage, I percieve Clinton and Obama to be statistically tied, with Clinton being a more concise speaker than Obama. I think the media's willing to let Edwards play at the very bottom of the 1st tier - so give him 2 minutes less speaking time than Obama, and call it a day. Despite poll numbers, I don't think the media portrays Richardson as a serious candidate. He seems to be on his own playing field, cause he's out-fundrasing and out-polling Dodd and Biden, but not given the same cred as Edwards. I think of Dodd and Biden as the same person (not as Senators, but in the presidential race), so I can't for the life of me figure out how Dodd got that much more talking time, especially because Anderson Cooper kept yelling at Biden and telling him he was overtime. So it seems as though may be elevating Dodd and demoting Biden, or perhaps promoting Kucinich.

I got the order right, but the amount of time horribly wrong. With my fuzzy math, and rounded seconds, here's how it actually happened:
Obama: 15:11
Clinton: -2:40
Edwards: -1:55
Richardson: -1:15
Dodd:-0:45
Biden: -1:30
Kucinich: -1:00
Gravel: -2:00

11 minutes and 1 second between Gravel and Obama - pretty remarkable.
I thought Clinton, once again, rocked the stage, but for some reason got almost 3 minutes less than Obama - the most significant difference between candi candidates (The next-biggest gap is at the bottom - Kucinich received only 1 minute less than Biden, but Gravel got 2 minutes less than Kucinich). Poor Gravel. I don't even know what to say. He spent over half his time screamin about how he wasn't allowed to talk.

Edwards is closer to Clinton than she is to Obama - about 2 minutes less talking time. Seriously, he needs a foreign policy coach. He's straight up mimicing what Clinton says, and looks relieved that she got to go first. He's got pretty eyes, and I think he's transformative and inspiring on domestic issues... but the man needs to read some back issues of Foreign Affairs. I don't know if an Edwards/Richardson ticket would win, but Richardson as a strong, foreign policy VP to Edwards would be kind of fascinating.

Richardson is a funny, smart, personable guy. Bryan's working on his campagin and has some kind of hero crush on him, I actually like his campaign commercials, but he comes across as two steps from dead up there. He's not articulate, and doesn't break through the party line. I don't think he explained well what the fundamental difference between himself and the Senators on Iraq actually is, and it looked like Biden womped him on the facts - and then he subsequently offered Biden the position of Secretary of State.

This was Kucinich's strongest debate by far. He was able to articulate his positions without sounding whiny and totally left wing.

I hate Anderson Cooper.

That's my debate analysis.

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